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The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declined by 0.5% in august 2025 to 98.4 (2016=100), after a small 0.1% increase in july (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0.1% decline) The lei fell by 2.8% over the six months between february and august 2025, a faster rate of decline. Economic indicator calendar all release times displayed are eastern time note
The leading, coincident, and lagging indexes are designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle for major economies around the world. The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declines in august the conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the us declined by 0.5% in august 2025 to 98.4 (2016=100), after a small 0.1% increase in july (upwardly revised from an originally reported 0.1% decline) About the conference board leading economic index® (lei) and the conference board coincident economic index® (cei) for the global economy
The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle
The cei is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real gdp. The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for china ticked down in september the conference board leading economic index®(lei) for china ticked down by 0.1% in september 2025 to 146.7 (2016=100), after contracting by 0.4% in august The conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the uk declined in august the conference board leading economic index® (lei) for the united kingdom contracted by 0.3% in august 2025 to 74.3 (2016=100), after no change in july The lei is a predictive tool that anticipates—or “leads”—turning points in the business cycle by around four months
The ten components of the leading economic index® for japan are Real money supply, m2 + cd money yield spread, (10 year gov bonds minus uncollateralized Overnight rate) stock price index dwelling units started
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